投票上限模型及其投票结果的区间估计

Vote Bounded above Model and the Inte rval Estimation of the Vote Result

本文针对评判工作中的不确定性特征犤1犦,引进概率论中的随机变量,利用二项式分布及DeMoivre-Laplace中心极限定理,建立了评委投票上限模型,并且给出了投票结果的区间估计,介绍了武汉某高校2000年职称评定工作应用的示例。

The paper aims at undetermined chara cteristics in judgment,introducin g stochastic variable in probabilit y theory,using binomial distributio n and the central limit theorem of De M oivre -Laplace that establishes a vote bounded above model and obtains the i nterval estimation of the vote resul t.In the year 2000this method is used in a college in Wuhan in evaluating professional achievements.The paper en ds with this example.