摘要
本文在分析影响预测准确原因的基础上.指出预测工作必须定量与定性相结合.针对地区电力消费需求的特点,提出了适宜于定性分析的四个预测模型.运用上述模型,实际预测结果令人满意。
This paper analyses the causes of forecasting predication, and points out that forecasting mllst combine mathematical models with qualitative analysis, and according to the traits of regional eleclric demand. presents four models suited to qualitative analysis. The real example is carried out with satisfactory results.
出处
《运筹与管理》
CSCD
1996年第1期32-36,共5页
Operations Research and Management Science
关键词
电力需求
预测
定性分析
electric demand
forecasting
qualitative analysis.