我国城镇失业率对经济增长的影响——基于省际面板数据的实证研究

China's Urban Unemployment Rate in Effect on Economic Growt —— An Empirical Study Based on Provincial Panel Data

本文运用2008-2013年我国省级面板数据分析经济增长与城镇失业率之间的关系。与以往文献有所不同,本文衡量经济增长指标是城镇人均总收入、万人受高等教育程度、预期寿命以及城镇失业参保人数来研究城镇失业率,并把全国分成东、中、西部地区进行比较分析。实证结果得出:(1)全国而言,城镇人均总收入、受教育程度和失业参保人数比例与城镇登记失业率呈现负相关关系;预期寿命与城镇登记失业率呈现正相关关系;(2)地区而言,各种影响城镇登记失业率的因素在地区间存在着显著的差异。

In this paper, China's provincial-level panel data from 2008 to 2013 analysis the relationship between economic growth and urban unemployment rate ever, and the literature is different, this article is to measure the economic growth indicators of urban per capita income, people affected by the degree of higher education, life expectancy and the number of insured unemployed to study the town's urban unemployment rate, and the country is divided into eastern, central and western regions were compared. The empirical results obtained:(1) in terms of the country, urban per capita income, level of education and unemployment ginseng proportion and the registered urban unemployment rate present a negative correlation relationship; Life exp.