农村空巢老年人养老模式选择意愿的实证研究——以山东省为例

An Empirical Study on the Willingness of Rural Empty Nester Pension Model—— Taking Shandong Province as an Example

基于2014年山东省农村空巢老年人养老质量调查数据,利用Logit模型系统分析了农村空巢老年人养老模式的选择意愿及其影响因素。研究发现:选择与谁生活在一起、年均收入、对养老院的满意度、是否希望与儿女生活等变量对农村空巢老年人养老模式的选择有显著影响。因此,以后应继续加强对空巢老年人子女的教育力度,提高其赡养老年人的意识和能力;不断完善农村社会保障制度(包括新农保、新农合、医保、五保和低保等);以发展居家养老服务为重点,发展社会养老服务体系。

Based on 2014 Shandong rural empty nester pension quality survey data, the paper uses the Logit model to analyze the model of rural empty nester's selection intention and its inlfuencing factors systematically. The study found: the choice of living with whom, annual incomes, satisfaction of nursing homes, whether they want to live with their children and other variables have a signiifcant impact on rural empty nester's choices. Therefore, we should continue to strengthen the education of their children, improve children's ability of supporting the elderly, continue to complete rural social security system (The new rural insurance, the new rural cooperative, medical insurance, guarantees insurance and the minimum living guarantee, etc.), focus on the development of home endowment service, and develop social endowment service system.