养老观念的影响因素分析——基于CGSS2010的实证研究

Influencing Factors of the Elder-Care Concept——A Study Based on CGSS2010

基于CGSS2010的调查数据,运用多值选择回归模型分析方法,探析了现阶段人们养老观念的影响因素。分析结果表明,人们的养老观念在各年龄阶段表现各异;在现代化的影响因素方面,对社区的了解程度对养老观念的影响较小,而对社会公平的评价对养老观念的影响则较大;在家庭影响因素方面,家庭经济状况以及生育子女的意愿对养老观念的影响较大;在个人影响因素方面,受教育水平和对未来自身经济状况的预期对养老观念的影响较大。同时,对现有养老主体的分析表明,地方政府在养老制度中居于主导地位,而社会组织的认可度则较低。

With the data from CGSS2010, the paper uses the multi-value selection regression model, and analyzes the affecting factors of the elder-care concept. The results show that different people in each age stage express different pension ideas. In the aspect of the influence factors of modernization, the level of understanding of community has small impact on the elder-care concept, and the assessment of the social fair has larger impact on the elder-care concept; In the aspect of family factors, the economic environment of family and wishes of childbearing have larger impact on the elder-care concept. In the aspect of personal factors, the personal education and views on the future level of their own economic ideas have larger impact on the elder-care concept. Meanwhile, the analysis of the existing elder-care body shows that local government have dominant effect in the elder-care system, and the recognition of social organization is lower.