信比统计和潜在震源区划分

The Statistics of Belief Ratio and the Dividing of the Potential Seismical Source

在文献[1]的基础上,本文提出了一种处理未确知信息的统计方法,称为信比统计或未确知性统计。其基本思想是:将信比的确定,纳入人们的心理测量,认为科学的心理测量可以客观地反映现实。进而,本文提出了波动系数的概念,为衡量信比统计的稳定性和有效性提供了一种测度。最后,本文提出了一种利用信比统计进行潜在震源区划分的方法。

On the basis of the reference [1], a statistical method of dealing with unascertained information is proposed in this paper. This method is called the statistics of belief ratio or the statistics of unascertained information. Its major idea is that the belief rat(?)o can be determined by man's estirnation, and the sdentific estimation can reflect the fact objectiv(?) Furthermore, the concept of flunctuating coefficient is prpposed in this paper, which provides us with a kind of measure for judging the statictical steady degree and the effective degree of belief ratio In the end, a dividing method of potential seismical source is proposed, which uses the statistical method of belief ratio.