河南省经济空间格局演变实证研究

Study on the economical spatial structure change of the Province Henan

为探索区域经济空间结构演变规律,选取河南省17市为基本空间单元,以城镇化综合评估面板数据为衡量指标,分别采用协整回归和空间马尔科夫链方法,运用Eviews8.0和ARCGIS9.3软件对河南省经济空间结构演变动态特征进行了实证分析以及空间可视化处理.结果表明,城市化进程在强化河南省在空间上的集聚性.原因在于由城乡偏向政策推动的城市化打破了空间资源优化配置并促使产业稳定地向行政体制较高的行政区域集聚,这对外围传统农业地区经济发展极为不利,区域经济差异的鸿沟会越来越大.

The article about spatial structure of the regional economic seek the evolution rule by using the Central Plains Economic Zone as a spatial unit and comprehensive evaluation to regional urbanization level as measuring index for the level of regional economic development, respectively, thought the methods of Granger causality test (Eviews8.0) and space Markov chain (Arcgis9.3) ,the article visualizes the spatial patterns of regional economic and analyses the characteristic of the dynamic transformational Matrix on spatial structure of the regional economic.The result shows that the economy in Henan province has been characterized by"convergence clubs"in process of spatial centralization , and the results supports that the spatial polarization is discovered in process of spatial centralization. It suggested that Urbanization between central city and traditional agricultural areas has a series of negative effects on the regional economic development.