“丝绸之路经济带”视域下中国木质家具出口影响因素研究——基于灰色关联度的实证分析

Research on the Factors Affecting the Export of Chinese Wooden Furniture under the Vision of “Silk Road Economic Belt”——An Empirical Analysis Based on Grey Correlation Degree

通过分析中国木质家具出口"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家现状,选取最具代表性的21个国家作为研究对象,基于2005～2016年中国木质家具出口影响因素的面板数据,运用灰色关联度分析法实证测算了影响中国木质家具出口"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家的18个因素关联度值。结果显示:科技创新是关键因素,中国经济发展、贸易成本、国际市场规模显著影响中国木质家具出口。根据结论对中国木质家具出口"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家的贸易拓展提出启示,助推我国提高木质家具出口竞争力。

The paper analyzed the status quo of Chinese wooden furniture export to the countries that along the'Silk Road Economic Belt'and selected 21 countries as the most representative research objects. Based on the panel data of factors that affecting the Chinese wooden furniture export from 2005 to 2016, the grey correlation analysis method was used to calculate the grey correlation value of 18 factors that affecting the Chinese wooden furniture export to the countries along the'Silk Road Economic Belt'. The results showed that technological innovation was the key factor, economic development of China, trade cost and international market scale had the greatest impact on Chinese wooden furniture export. The enlightenment for expanding the Chinese wooden furniture export trade to the countries along the'Silk Road Economic Belt'was put forward according to the conclusions, in order to promote the export competitiveness of Chinese wooden furniture.