对突变经济系统预测问题的研究

Research of Predited Questions about Sudden-varying Economic System

为解决突变系统的预测问题而建立的校正模型和原模型的预测误差进行比较结果是可信的,给出的具体预报和应用实例都说明了这个结果,只是预测不到系统和转折点,这还有待进一步探讨。

Based on monlinear coming model, this article builtds an adjusted model,compared adjusted model error with original model's,and then presents the actual predicted formula and cases.