摘要
从风险和风险分布的定义出发 ,对轨道交通投资项目的风险因素进行了分析。从理论上探讨了风险因素的联合概率分布和条件概率分布 ,以及相应的风险分布。探讨了轨道交通投资项目风险控制的最优化管理模型 ,为轨道交通投资项目的风险分析和风险控制提供理论依据。
From the definitions of risk, risk distribution, risk factors in urban rail transit investment projects, the author discusses the united and conditioned probability distribution of risk factors, the corresponding risk distribution, and the optimal risk control management as well. The author holds that a management model can provide a reliable arguments for risk analysis and risk control in urban rail transit investment projects.
出处
《城市轨道交通研究》
2003年第2期32-36,共5页
Urban Mass Transit