2016年美国大选与茶党的未来

The 2016 Election and the Future of Tea Party

始于2009年的右翼保守主义的茶党对美国选举政治产生了重要影响。2012年后,茶党运动进入低潮。2016年大选,民粹民族主义的崛起为茶党的发展提供了新机会。茶党一方面对特朗普崛起提供了社会思想基础,另一方面协助特朗普获胜。特朗普执政为茶党实现政治议程提供了契机。特朗普百日新政体现了茶党的政治理念,并付诸实践,但受到左翼的阻挠。在此背景下,茶党未来将更加积极、活跃。茶党的未来以及对美国政治的影响将取决于左翼力量的发展以及国内政治、社会环境的改变。茶党与左翼阵营的博弈也将进一步加剧当前美国的极化政治生态。

Right-wing conservative Tea Party movement,which started in 2009 played an important part in American politics. Tea Party movement was at the low point after 2012. The rise of populism and nationalism provided new chance for Tea Party in 2016 campaign. On the one hand,Tea Party gave social thought for the rise of Trump;on the other hand,Tea party helped Trump to win election.Trump won election,which helps Tea Party to realize political agenda. Trump’s 100 days’ policy,which embodies Tea Party’s political idea has been blocked by left. In the context,Tea Party will be more active in the future. The future of Tea Party and the influence of Tea Party on American Politics will depend on the development of the left and the change of American domestic politics and social environment. At the same time,the game between Tea Party and the left also will further intensify current American polarized politics.