特朗普台海政策及其走向分析

Analysis on Trump’s Taiwan Strait Policy and Its Trend

中美建交以来,美国将台海政策作为维护亚太局势稳定、增进战略利益的重要手段。历史上,美国台海政策发挥了稳定中美关系又提升美台实质关系的作用。特朗普上任后提出'印太'战略牵制中国崛起,对华打'台湾牌'的动因强于奥巴马时期。蔡英文当局奉行'倚美抗中'路线,将对美关系置于两岸关系之上,主动影响美国台海政策。在特朗普任内,美国如何执行'一中政策'以及'美台关系'走向,将对中美关系产生至关重要的影响。

Since China and U.S.established diplomatic relations,U.S.government has been regarding Taiwan Strait policy as a significant leverage to maintain stability and to secure its strategic interests in East Asia as well.In history,U.S.Taiwan Strait policy not only improved Sino-U.S.relations but also upgraded the substantial relations between U.S.and Taiwan.Trump administration attempts to counter the rising of China by pushing forward"Indo-Pacific Strategy",and its attempt of playing Taiwan Card is stronger than that of Obama administration.Tsai Ing-wen pursues the route of"Pro-U.S.and Anti-China"which prioritizes "Taiwan-U.S.relations"over Cross-Strait relations,and Tsai administration eagers to shape Trump’s Taiwan policy in favor of Taiwan.During Trump’s tenure,how will U.S.implement"One China Policy"as well as the trend of "U.S.-Taiwanrelations",would exert essential influence on Sino-U.S.relations.