北京全运竞技实力之宏观研究

Study on the Athletic Strength of Beijing in National Games

运用文献资料和数理统计等方法 ,以项群和各项目为基本单位 ,以时间转换为背景 ,对北京全运会竞技特征进行全面分析和研究。结果显示 :在 4～ 9届全运会竞技中 ,格斗、隔网和同场对抗类项群是北京历届全运会的传统优势运动项群 ,其他各项群的竞技表现、优势特征以及在各因子中所占的权重各不相同 ;另外 ,各项目竞技实力的历史特征表明 :速度力量项群、属于耐力项群的径赛和划船项目、射击项目的竞技实力具有可持续发展的特点 ;从而提示按各项群和项目的竞技特征进行合理资源配置的必要性。

Methods of literature review and mathematical statistics were employed in this paper to study the competition characteristics of Beijing in National Games on event-group basis. The results indicated that net competition, same-field competition and grapple competition are the traditionally superior event-groups of Beijing from the 4th to the 9th National Games, while the other event-groups varied in performance and strength. Also, speed strength event-group , endurance event-groups such as track and boating, and shooting had the possibility of sustained development.