负荷求导法在电网超短期负荷预测中的实践

Practice of load derivation for super-short load forecast in power system

介绍负荷求导法在浙江电力调度技术支持系统中的应用和实践,并通过在电网调度中的实践结果与目前常用的几种超短期负荷预测方法误差比较,验证了负荷求导法误差更小,对电网调度的实际工作具有广泛的实用价值。

This paper introduces the derivation of load for super-short load forecast and its applying to the electrical power system.It is shown that the result of error about several current methods in this area and compared their errors.It has been proved that the derivation of load for super-short load forecast has more practical value.