溢出效应与经济增长理论对发展中国家的启示

The Apocalypse of the Theory of Spillover Effects and Economic Growth to the Developing Countries

新增长理论和新贸易理论认为国际贸易的发展促进了先进科学技术、知识和人力资本的传递,使参加贸易的各国的知识、技术和人力资本水平提高,产生溢出效应,从而带动经济增长,这是由经济系统的内生变量决定的。发展中国家要根据国情加强与溢出国的有效配合,培养自我创造机制,对有潜力的企业实行战略性保护,提高溢出效应的效率,推动本国经济的发展。

New theories about growth and trade hold that the development of international trade promotes the transfer of advanced technology, knowledge and human resource to those countries that participate in the trade, produces the spillover effects and drives the process of economic growth in those countries. This is decided by the endogenous variables in the economic system. Developing countries should cooperate effectively with those overflowing countries, build selfcreating mechanism and strategically protect those enterprises with potentials according to national conditions in order to increase the efficiency of spillover effects and economic growth.