燃气负荷及其预测模型

Gas Load and Forecasting Models

在数理统计学和现代优化方法基础上对已有燃气负荷预测文献进行归纳,从多角度对燃气负荷预测进行分类。指出需要按燃气负荷预测的应用要求,燃气负荷变化特性等具体情况选择预测方法。综述了可有效用于燃气负荷预测的方法和模型。

Based on statistics and modern optimization methods, literatures of gas load forecasting and practice experiences were reviewed and induced, and categories of gas load forecasting have been made from different viewpoints. Forecasting method would be slected in accordance with application need and gas load variation characteristic. Methods and models used in gas load forecasting have been summarized. 