利用数值产品与单站要素作南宁市冬春"暴冷"天气预报的研究

Study on the Forecast of “Sudden Cold” Weather in Winter and Spring of Nanning by Using Numerical Products and Single Station Elements

对1986～2002年17年冬春季节(1～3月)由于冷空气南下造成南宁市"暴冷"的几个个例进行了天气学、单站要素、欧洲数值产品特征三方面的研究,并试用欧洲数值预报产品与单站要素相结合,综合分析进行预报,发现效果较好。

Study is made against the “sudden cold” weather due to the south moving of cold air in Winter and Spring (Jan.~ Mar.) during 1986 ~ 2002 in Nanning from the three aspects of synoptic meteorology, single station elements and European Numerical Products. The trial forecast thereof is made by combining the European Numerical Products and single station elements, and it is proved to be effective.