居民消费行为的宏观效应分析

An Macro-analysis of The Effects of The Consumption Behavior of Residents

以居民消费行为的宏观效应为研究对象,从居民的消费总量、消费结构和消费时间的选择三个角度对这种效应进行了理论分析,并以此为基础,对我国居民的消费行为进行了实证分析,认为:居民消费总量的周期性变化导致了GDP增长率的周期性波动,居民消费结构的升级推动了产业结构的升级,居民对未来消费的选择降低了实际利率。

Resident′s consumption demand is one of the importa nt compositions of aggregate demand.The change of resident′s consumption behavior has many impacts on macroeconomy.This article regards macroeconomical effects o f resident′s consumption behavior as the research object and analyses these eff ects from the point of total amount of resident′s consumption, the structure of consumption and the choice of consumption time.Then on the basis of the above t heory,the author studies the consumption behavior of the residents of our countr y and comes to the following three conlusions:Firstly,the periodic change of the total amount of consumption of residents has caused the cyclic fluctuation of G DP and Secondly,the upgrading of residents′ structure of consumption has drive n the upgrading of the industrial structure;Thirdly,the residents′ choice of co nsuming in future has reduced the real interest rate.