基于攻防对抗的战术导弹试验用弹量确定

Test Lengths of Tactical Missile Based on Counterattack

基于战术导弹在实战中用于攻防对抗的假设 ,讨论了靶场试验需要解决的一个关键技术问题———导弹总数确定时的试验用弹量 .在单射优化方法的基础上 ,综合考虑费用、获利、损失等多种因素 ,建立了齐射情况下最大化获利函数的优化决策方法 ,用Bayes统计方法对优化决策问题加以分析 ,推导出优化枚数分配方案及其风险 .作为对数学模型的验证 。

As for the technique of the tactical missile shooting range tests,one key issue is investigated provided that the missile will be applied in the counterattacks during wars.On the assumption that the total number of missile is a constant,a method of determining the test lengths is discussed.On the basis of the optimization for the single weapon case,an optimized decision rule of maximuzing gain function for k weapon salvo case is presented under the consideration of multi factors such as cost,gain and loss.By using Bayes statistical method,a scheme for allocating missile and its risk are then deduced.As a validation for the models,simulation is fairly satisfying.