电力远期价格预测的灰色动态模型研究

Study on gray dynamic model for electricity forward price forecasting

电力远期价格受实时电价、利率、负荷需求等多种因素影响,变化趋势复杂,很难建立一个准确的数学模型进行全面描述。针对这一特点,用灰色动态预测模型对电力远期价格进行了预测,并对不同模型的预测结果进行了研究。

Electricity forward price is affected by many factors such as spot price, interest rate and load request. It is difficult to set up an accurate math model to describe its movement which varies in complex tendency. A gray dynamic model is present to forecast electricity forward price and results of different models are studied.