市场需求预测的定性模拟研究

Study of Qualitative Simulation for Market Requirement Prediction

探索了市场需求预测的定性以及定性和定量相结合的模拟方法。首先,介绍了市场需求预测和定性模拟的概念;其次,在两者的理论基础上分别以市场需求函数和模糊线性回归模型为例,分析朴素物理方法和模糊数学方法与市场需求预测相结合的可能性;最后指出,市场需求预测与定性模拟技术相结合具有进一步研究的可行性,提出对市场需求预测进行定性模拟的实现途径。

Methods of qualitative simulation (QS) and the combination of qualitative and quantitative simulation for market requirement prediction are discussed. Firstly, the concepts of market requirement prediction and QS are introduced. Secondly, based on the market requirement function and the fuzzy linear regression model, the possibility for the combination of market requirement prediction, and the naive physics method and fuzzy mathematic method are analyzed. Lastly, a method for market requirement prediction with qualitative simulation is presented.