甘肃中部春夏干旱气候分析与预测系统

Climatic Analysis of Spring-Summer Drought And The Forecast System in Middle Area of Gansu Province

利用甘肃中部13个测站历年4～6月的旬降水、温度资料,分析了干旱年、月、(旬)降水量、平均温度等气候变化特征及其空间分布。在此基础上,建立了相应的春、夏干旱短期气候预测系统模型,经业务使用,准确率较高。

The climate characters such as rainfall and temperature in drought periods are analyzed by using the dekad data from April to June in 13 stations.A model for short-term forecast system with a better result in operational use is set up.