浅析啤酒销售与气象要素的关系及预测

Relationship Between The Sales Quantity of Beer And Meteorological Factor And Its Prediction

利用1997年1月～2002年6月兰州市某大型啤酒企业啤酒销售资料与同期兰州市气象要素资料,分析气象要素对啤酒销售的影响。分析结果表明,温度是影响啤酒销售量最显著的气象因子,两者具有很好的相关性。采用最小二乘法建立啤酒销售量的月及逐日预报方程,并提出啤酒指数的概念。

By using the sales quantity of one big brew house of Lanzhou from January 1997 to June 2002 and the meteorological data of the same time, the relationship between the sales quantity of beer and meteorological factor are analyzed. The results show that the temperature is one of the most notable factors. Based on the research, the monthly and daily forecasting equations are built and the conception of index of beer is brought forward at last.