对广州—珠海城际快速轨道交通客流预测的分析评价

Evaluation on the Analysis to the Passenger Volume Forecast of Guangzhou-Zhuhai Intercity MRT

客流预测是轨道交通建设项目决策的重要依据。因此,城际快速轨道交通线的客流预测必须坚持定量分析和定性分析相结合的观点,并据此对广州—珠海城际快速轨道交通线客流预测工作的可靠性和预测结果的合理性进行了分析评价。

Passenger volume forecast is an important foundation for launch-ing mass railway transit construction projects. Therefore, the passenger vol-ume forecast of intercity MRT lines shall adopt a combination concept of bothquantitative and qualitative analysis. According to this, the paper carries outan analysis and evaluation to the reliability of passenger volume forecast andthe rationality of forecast result for Guangzhou-Zhuhai Intercity MRT.