中国对外贸易贫困化增长的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Immiserizing Growth of the Chinese Foreign Trade

经济增长带来的收益会被贸易条件的不断恶化而抵消 ,这是困扰发展中国家的“贫困化增长”问题。实证分析表明 ,由于外贸体制改革的不彻底性以及出品商品结构和国内生产结构发生偏离 ,使中国经济也面临贫困化增长的危险。对此 ,中国对外贸易必须摆脱传统的比较优势的束缚 。

That the gains from economic growth will be counteracted by the ever-deteriorating terms of trade is the problem of 'immiserizing growth' nagging developing countries. Empirical analysis shows that the Chinese economy is also confronted by the danger of immiserizing growth thanks to the incompleteness in its reform of foreign trade regime and the divergence of its export commodity structure from its domestic production structure. The Chinese foreign trade, therefore, must shake off the fetters of traditional comparative advantage and select the export-oriented development strategy based on competitive advantage.