满足未来中国燃油消耗量法规的行业技术路线选择

Technology Routes to Meet China's Future Corporate Average Fuel Consumption Regulations

面向中国燃油消耗量法规建立了可对全行业进行系统的技术可行性及成本评估的技术路线选择模型,并基于覆盖全行业的市场、技术数据库,对2030年前中国市场上主流OEM(Original Equipment Manufacturer)为实现法规达标将采取的节能与新能源技术路线及达标成本进行了建模仿真和分析,同时对行业整体技术路线、企业达标成本及达标难度进行了综合评估。通过对法规将产生的影响及技术发展趋势的分析,为中国中长期节能与新能源技术发展提供参考和建议。

A technology route selection model was established which can systematically evaluate the technical feasibility and cost of the whole industry for China’s CAFC regulations. Based on the whole market and technology database, the energy-saving and new energy technology routes and the compliance cost of the mainstream OEMs(Original Equipment Manufacturers) in China’s market through 2030 were modeled and simulated to comply with standards. The overall technical routes of the industry, the compliance cost of enterprises, and the difficulty of complying with the standard were comprehensively evaluated. Through the analysis of the impact of laws and regulations and the development trend of energy-saving technologies, this paper aims to provide references and suggestions for the development of energy-saving and new energy technologies in the medium and long term in China.