新建高速公路诱增交通量预测方法分析

Analysis on Prediction Method of Induced Traffic Volume of New Highways

交通量预测对于高速公路的建设与发展具有很重要的现实意义。新建高速公路的交通量预测由于缺乏原始数据,同时容易受多种因素影响,因此很难对交通量进行预测。诱增交通量对新建高速公路未来交通量的变化趋势有显著影响,但是目前我国在诱增交通量方面研究较少,本文以诱增交通量为对象,分析其不同的预测方法。

Traffic volume prediction has significance to the construction and development of highways. Due to lack of original data and its susceptibility,traffic volume prediction of new highways can be very difficult. Induced traffic volume has great impact on the variation trend of future traffic volume of new highways. However,there are few researches on induced traffic volume in China. In this paper,by studying induced traffic volume,relevant prediction methods are analysed.