城镇化进程中洛阳市人口发展的数学建模探讨

Discussion on Mathematical Modeling of Luoyang Population Development in the Process of Urbanization

针对城镇化进程中洛阳市的人口发展规律,建立了人口发展的一元线性回归模型、指数增长模型以及阻滞增长的Logistic模型来预测洛阳市人口的发展,并与ARIMA模型进行了对比,为城镇化进程中人口发展趋势提供参考,为政策的制定者提供理论指导和决策参考。

The paper study the rule of Luoyang population development in the Process of Urbanization,build about the model of the population development,such as linear regression model,exponential growth,and Logistic growth mode.to predict the population development of Luoyang City,and compare with the ARIMA model,choice the best one to provide the population development urbanization process,so provide theoretical guidance and decision-making reference for policy makers.