摘要
2015年美国大学生数学建模竞赛A题"根除埃博拉"是一个国际关注的问题,本文参考了部分获奖竞赛论文中的观点和方法,深入研究这一课题,给出了比较全面的分析。根据西非埃博拉病毒传播的实际情况,建立了若干通常传染病的SEIR模型的衍生模型,并给出详细的阐述,同时也说明了仿真的重要意义。最后,点评了学生论文中的优缺点,并给出进一步研究的建议。
Problem A(Eradicating Ebola)of 2015 Mathematical Contest in Modeling/ The Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling(MCM/ICM)is an international concern.This article gives an open review on the methods and views of papers which have got the highest award in the contest.It also studies the Ebola problem and gives a relatively comprehensive solution.In this paper,the SEIR epidemic model and some derived models based on the real situations of West Africa Ebola are described in details.Meanwhile,the important significance of simulation is stated.Finally,the advantages and disadvantages of students' papers are reviewed and some suggestions are put forward to further research.
出处
《数学建模及其应用》
2015年第2期54-70,共17页
Mathematical Modeling and Its Applications
关键词
SEIR模型
埃博拉
聚类分析
优化模型
SEIR epidemic model
Ebola
clustering analysis
optimization model
