SIR型传染病模糊控制模型及其应用

The Fuzzy Control Model on Infection of SIR Type and its Application

目的 建立SIR型传染病模糊控制数学模型 ;预测SIR型传染病最初流行范围及其流行高峰、流行时间 ,为在较短的时间内消除传染病流行提供决策依据。方法 采用模糊聚类分析。结果 用F 统计量得到最佳分类和模糊控制式。结论 所建立的模型具有较强的时效性与简便的可操作性。

Objective Construct fuzzy control mathematical model on infection of SIR type.The originally epidemic area,outbreak peak during and perod of time of infectious disease on type SIR is calculated,and the basis of making a strategic decision for putting out infectious disease in short time is also provided.Methods Using fuzzy classification analyzes.Results The best classification and fuzzy control pattern are obtained by F-statistics.Conclusion The model has fine timeliness and handy manipulation.