东北亚地区天然气资源状况与需求展望

PROSPECT OF NATURAL GAS RESOURCE AND DEMAND IN NORTHEAST ASIAN REGION

东北亚地区天然气资源丰富 ,其原始资源总量超过 2 2 0× 10 12 m3 ,主要集中在俄罗斯东部和中国。各地区的天然气需求差别很大 ,资源丰富的俄罗斯西西伯利亚地区天然气在能源结构中的比例高达 5 7.6 % ;油气资源匮乏的日本和韩国主要以LNG的形式由研究区域以外进口天然气 ,且主要用于发电和民用 ;拥有资源与利用市场的中国天然气则刚刚起步。文章在系统研究该地区天然气资源状况与需求现状的基础上 ,指出随着经济的发展与环保压力的增加 ,该地区 2 0 10年天然气利用将达 (2 737～ 3839)× 10 8m3 ,2 0 2 0年将达 (5 0 4 9～ 5 2 87)× 10 8m3 ,该地区的天然气利用在世纪之初将呈现旺盛的发展势头。

There is abundant natural gas resource in the northeast Asian region. The total GIIP is over 220 TCM, which is mainly distributed in the east Russia and China. But the gas demand is quite various in different areas. In Russia ' s Siberia area with rich resource, the proportion of natural gas in the energy structure is up to 57 . 6% . Since lacking gas resource, both Japan and South Korea have to import natural gas from the other regions than the northeast Asia by means of LNG, which is mainly used for power generation and residential use. With rich resource and huge market, China started to develop its natural gas industry not long ago. Based on the systematically investigating the status of natural gas resource and demand of the region, the article points out as the economic development and the increasing pressure for the environment protection, the gas consumption of the region will reach to 2 737 ∼ 3 839 BCM by 2010 and 5 049∼5 287 BCM by 2020. It is indicated that the gas utilization of the region will appear a strong momentum at the early of the new century.