摘要
运用新型的多元数据分析方法———偏最小二乘(PLS)回归方法,采用1980～2000年的数据,分析了影响湖南省经济增长的12个因素.研究发现:在所选取的12个影响因素中,人口增长因素对湖南省经济增长起着阻碍作用,而其它因素都不同程度地对湖南省经济增长发挥了积极的作用,其中又以居民消费支出因素的影响最为显著 该文为湖南省制订长期、稳定的经济发展策略提供了有益的定量依据.
Applying a new method--Partial Least-Squares (PLS) regre ssion, and combining with the data of Chinese economy during the period from 1 980 to 2000, this paper analyzed the impact of 12 factors on Hunan province′s e conomic gr owth. Our research demonstrates that among the total 12 factors, population incr ease play a negative role in Hunan′s economic growth, while the others all play a positi v e role to some degree, of which the impact of consumption is the most significan t one. Finally, based on our PLS regression result, some policy advices were pr ovided to promote a stable and long-term economic growth in Hunan.
出处
《湖南大学学报（自然科学版）》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2003年第4期103-107,共5页
Journal of Hunan University:Natural Sciences
基金
国家社会科学基金资助项目(01CJY023)
湖南省科委软科学项目(00ZRY1007)和(00ZRY2029)资助
关键词
经济增长
影响因素
偏最小二乘回归
湖南
economic growth
impact factors
partial least -squares regression
