非均衡的经济动态模型

A Disequilibrium Economic Dynamic Model

本文旨在按现实世界的本来面目建立一个非均衡的内生经济动态模型。在这个模型中 ,源于部门内和部门间关系的内生变量导致资本市场、消费品市场上产量和价格的波动。市场的非均衡过程、存货调节机制以及经济人的最优行为和适应性行为是基于对现实世界的观察进行模拟的。静态性质及其稳定性是作为一般市场动态过程的特例加以讨论的。

This paper develops an endogenous economic dynamic model without equilibrium based on the real world. In this model, dynamic paths of market prices, cycles of consumer goods and capital goods are driven by endogenous variables through intra-sector and inter-sector relationships. Market disequilibrium processes, inventory adjustment mechanisms, as well as optimal and adaptive behaviors of economic agents are modeled based on real-world observations. Stationary and stability properties are discussed as special cases of general market tatonnement dynamics.