肇庆市城市化与经济发展协调度的时空特征

Spatial-Temporal Characteristics of Coordination Degree Between Urbanization and Economic Development in Zhaoqing

选取肇庆市2000—2016年的统计数据,从人口、经济、空间和社会四层面构建城市化水平综合测度指标体系,从经济规模、经济结构和经济质量三方面构建经济发展水平综合测度指标体系,使用因子分析法,引用协调度模型测度2000年以来肇庆市城市化与经济发展的协调度,判别协调度类型并分析其时空特征.结果表明:(1)肇庆市城市化与经济发展协调度可分为两个阶段:第一阶段为2000—2009年的不协调阶段,协调度为负值,协调度类型由极不协调演变为不协调;第二阶段为2010—2016年的协调阶段,协调度为正值,城市化水平和经济发展水平稳定提高,相辅相成.(2)肇庆市城市化与经济发展协调度存在显著的区域差别.

According to the statistical data in Zhaoqing City from 2000 to 2016, this paper sets up the comprehensive measure index system of urbanization level from four aspects of population, economy,space and the comprehensive measure index system of economic development level from economic scale, economic structure and economic quality. Through using factor analysis method and referencing the coordination degree model, this paper estimates the general level of urbanization and the comprehensive level of economic development and discriminates the type of coordination degree and analyzes its characteristics. The results show that the coordination degree of urbanization and economic development in Zhaoqing can be divided into two periods: the first stage was the non-coordination period from 2000 to 2009, showing the coordination degree was negative and developing from very non-coordination period to uncoordinated period; the second stage was the coordination period from 2010 to 2016, during which the coordination degree was positive and the level of urbanization and economic development both rose steadily and complementary each other. There were obvious regional differences in the coordination degree between urbanization and economic development in 2016.