晚清东北旗人的婚姻与死亡风险关系探析——基于中国多世代人口数据库(双城)

A Study on the Relationship between Marriage and Mortality Risk of Northeast Bannerman in Late Qing Dynasty: Based on CMGPD-SC

婚姻与死亡风险的关系是人类社会长期关注的重要问题。使用中国双城多世代人口数据库,运用离散时间事件史分析技术考察了晚清(1866-1913年)东北双城旗人移民社会中的婚姻与死亡风险之间的关系,结果发现:不同婚姻状态的死亡风险存在显著差别,未婚、丧偶和再婚等婚姻状态的死亡风险要高于初婚人口;不同婚姻行为对死亡风险存在不同影响,结婚降低死亡风险,丧偶提高死亡风险。研究验证了婚姻对个体健康的保护机制及其时期效应,表明了家庭和社会因素对于婚姻与死亡风险关系存在重要影响。

The relationship between marriage and mortality risk is an important issue which human society is concerned for a very long time. Based on China Multi-Generational Panel Dataset,Shuangcheng( CMGPD-SC),applied discrete event history analysis skills,this paper attempts to study the relationship between marriage and mortality risk of Bannerman lived in Shuangcheng in late Qing dynasty( year 1866- 1913). The findings are as follows: Firstly,the mortality risk is significant different if people are in different marriage status and unmarried,widowed and remarried people have higher mortality risk than married people. Secondly, marriage behavior affects mortality risk significantly and marriage decreases mortality risk while widowed increases it. It proves that positive marriage status or behaviors have positive effects on mortality risk and factors of family and society will play an important role in determining the relationship between marriage and mortality risk.