中国人力资本投资效率的收敛性及影响因素研究

A Research on the Convergence and Its Influencing Factors of the Human Capital Investment Efficiency in China

文章采用2001-2012年的省级面板数据,运用Bootstrap修正的Malmquist指数方法对中国31个省区的人力资本投资效率进行了测算,在此基础上运用空间自相关分析方法对人力资本投资效率的空间关联性进行验证,并使用空间收敛性测算方法对投资效率的收敛性及其影响因素进行了实证分析。研究发现,2001-2012年中国人力资本投资效率呈现出"先大幅上升,后小幅下降"的变化趋势,技术进步是促进投资效率增长的主要原因;中国人力资本投资效率的绝对β收敛和条件β收敛特征显著,区域间人力资本投资效率的正向空间溢出效应增强,极化效应逐渐减弱;人力资本投资初期效率、地区经济发展水平、城镇化水平、医疗卫生水平、产业结构调整是影响人力资本投资效率收敛性的重要因素。

Based on the 2001-2012 provincial panel data,this passage adopted Bootstrap modified Malmquist index method to estimate the human capital investment efficiency of China ’s 31 provinces,then spatial autocorrelation method was used to verify the spatial correlation of human capital investment efficiency,and spatial convergence method was adopted to analyze the investment efficiency ’s convergence and its influencing factors.The results shows that: Human capital investment efficiency shows a 'increased firstly,then declined slightly ' feature,technological progress is the main reason for the investment efficiency growth; The absolute β convergence and conditions β convergence characteristics are significant,regional positive spillover effect is enhancing,and the polarization effect is waning; The initial human capital investment efficiency,the economic development condition,the level of urbanization,the level of health care,the industrial structure adjustment are important factors that influence the convergence of human capital investment efficiency.