摘要
The interaction between the typhoons Fengshen and Fung-wong over the Western Pacific in 2002 is studied with the Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation(CNOP) method.The study discovered that the CNOP method reveals the process of one-way interaction between Fengshen and Fung-wong.Moreover,if the region of Fung-wong was selected for verification,the sensitivity area was mainly located in the region of Fengshen and presented a half-ring structure;if the region of Fengshen was selected for verification,most of the sensitivity areas were located in the region between the Fengshen and the subtropical high,far away from Fung-wong.This indicated that Fung-wong is mainly steered by Fengshen,but Fengshen is mainly affected by the subtropical high.The sensitivity experiment showed that the initial errors in the CNOP-identified sensitive areas have larger impacts on the verification-area prediction than those near the typhoon center and their developments take a large proportion in the whole domain.This suggests that the CNOP-identified sensitive areas do have large influence on the verification-area prediction.
The interaction between the typhoons Fengshen and Fung-wong over the Western Pacific in 2002 is studied with the Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation(CNOP) method.The study discovered that the CNOP method reveals the process of one-way interaction between Fengshen and Fung-wong.Moreover,if the region of Fung-wong was selected for verification,the sensitivity area was mainly located in the region of Fengshen and presented a half-ring structure;if the region of Fengshen was selected for verification,most of the sensitivity areas were located in the region between the Fengshen and the subtropical high,far away from Fung-wong.This indicated that Fung-wong is mainly steered by Fengshen,but Fengshen is mainly affected by the subtropical high.The sensitivity experiment showed that the initial errors in the CNOP-identified sensitive areas have larger impacts on the verification-area prediction than those near the typhoon center and their developments take a large proportion in the whole domain.This suggests that the CNOP-identified sensitive areas do have large influence on the verification-area prediction.
基金
National Natural Science Foundation of China(41105038)
National Science and Technology Support Program(2012BAC22B03)
