1977—2002年我国工业利润周期波动特征与成因分析

工业利润指标更能反映工业经济增长的实绩 ,所以 ,利润增长率应该是比产值增长率更为有效的分析工具。 1977～ 2 0 0 1年间我国工业利润波动经过了 6个周期 ,有“水平低、波动大”的特征。影响我国工业利润波动的因素依次为宏观经济因素、工业内部因素、市场需求因素和原材料供应因素。

Industrial profit is a more useful analysis tool to reflect industrial economic gronth than output growth rate.From 1977 to 2002,the industrial profit fluctuation has seen six cycles with the features of “low level and big fluctuation”.The factors that inflnence industrial profit fluctuation include macroeconomic factors,industrial internal factors,market demand factors and supply of raw material factors.