模糊逻辑分析在预测公路项目设计费用中的应用

The Application of Fuzzy Logical Anadysis Method in Forecasting Design Lost of Highway Project

本文的模型用于预测工程设计费用潜在超支的大小。用模糊逻辑分析法描述项目特征与风险事件的关系,以及它们的各种组合对设计费用超支的影响。讨论了用模型来识别项目特征与风险事件,解释了模型结构和模糊逻辑分析法的应用。

This paper describes a model for use in predicting cost overruns on engineering design projects.The model is research uses fuzzy logic to model the relationships between the characteristics of a project and the potential risk events that may occur ,and the associated cost overruns caused by combinations of the project characteristics and risk events.This paper identifies the project characteristics and risk events used in the model;explains the structure of the model and the use of fuzzy logic.