外商直接投资与国内投资的动态关系

On the Dynamic Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Inves tment

作者以1987～2001年全国29个省市的分组数据为基础,运用多元Granger因果模型对外商直接投资(FDI)与国内不同所有制经济固定资产投资间的因果关系进行了检验。结果表明,FDI与国内投资的动态关系短期来看与所有制因素关系密切,长期来看则受当地FDI相对流入规模以及经济发展水平的影响。

By using the cause-effect model of poly-Granger, the paper examines the cause-effect relationship between the FDI and real estate investment under different domestic ownership systems on the basis of data collected from 29 provinces between 1987 and 2001. The results show that the FDI and the domestic investment relationship is dynamic, which is closely related to the nature of the ownerships for a short term, but the scale of the local introduction of FDI and local economic development level exert a longterm influence.