车用油品与汽车必须同步发展

Auto Oil Products should Develop in Step with Auto Industry

20世纪90年代以来,中国汽车销量年均增长14％,而轿车销量年均增长达31％。2001～2003年进入新一轮高速增长期,年均增幅保持在20％～40％。比较发达国家的经验,可以发现,在人均GDP水平按购买力平价计算达到4000美元之后,人均汽车保有量相对于国民经济增长的弹性通常会由1.7～1.8上升到2.6～2.7。目前,中国的人均GDP水平按购买力平价计算接近3000美元,因此,到2005年以后,中国的轿车需求可望有更快的发展。汽车需要汽油和柴油作为发动机燃料,需要车用润滑油来润滑,轿车的汽油发动机需要高标号汽油做燃料和高档汽油机油来润滑。因此,车用油品的发展必须紧随汽车工业,特别是轿车工业的更新换代而稳步前进。

's auto sales have seen an annual growth of 14 percent since the 1990s. Car sales grew by 31 percent per year. There was a new round of high-speed growth between 2001 and 2003, growing at a rate of 20-40 percent. Based on the experience of developed countries, if the purchasing power of the average per-capita GDP reaches US$4000, the elasticity of the average per-capita auto number against the national economic growth may increase from 1.7-1.8 to 2.6-2.7. Currently, the purchasing power of per-capita GDP has approached US$3000. Therefore, China's demand for cars may rise more rapidly after 2005. Automobiles have to use gasoline and diesel for fuels and use lubricants for lubrication. Gasoline engines require high-index gasoline as fuel and uses high-grade lubricants for lubrication. Therefore, auto oil products should develop in step with the auto industry. The car industry in particular should make stable progress towards modernization.