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AN OPTION PRICING MODEL UNDER FUTURE REVENUE UNCERTAINTY

AN OPTION PRICING MODEL UNDER FUTURE REVENUE UNCERTAINTY
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摘要 The purpose of this paper is to discuss how the value of high-tech firm can be rationally valued by taking into account managerial flexibility when its future revenue is uncertain,thereby the firm's manager can make rational investment decisions.Using stochastic control theory,the paper will present that the firm's value satisfies a partially differentiate equation,and analyze the managerial flexibility value within a framework of real-option analytic theorey.Finally,the comparative static analysis and the model's simple application are given. The purpose of this paper is to discuss how the value of high-tech firm can be rationally valued by taking into account managerial flexibility when its future revenue is uncertain,thereby the firm's manager can make rational investment decisions.Using stochastic control theory,the paper will present that the firm's value satisfies a partially differentiate equation,and analyze the managerial flexibility value within a framework of real-option analytic theorey.Finally,the comparative static analysis and the model's simple application are given.
出处 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2003年第3期311-317,共7页 高校应用数学学报(英文版)(B辑)
基金 Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China( 70 0 71 0 1 2 )
关键词 Real-option managerial flexibility stochastic control Bellman equation Real-option,managerial flexibility,stochastic control,Bellman equation
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参考文献4

  • 1Schwartz, E. S. , Moon, M. , Rational Pricing of Internet Companies, Journal of Financial Analysts,2000,May/June, 82-74.
  • 2Trigeorgis ,L. ,Real Options : Managerial Flexibility and Strategy in Resource Allocation,Cambridge,Massachusetts,England London:The MIT Press,1996.
  • 3Dixit, A. K. , Pindyck, R. S. , Investment Under Uncertainty, Princeton New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1994.
  • 4Clark, E. ,Valuing political risk, Journal of International Money and Finance, 1997,16 (3):447-490.

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