中国战略性新兴产业发展绩效分析——兼论产业政策的重要性

Performance Analysis of China’s Strategic Emerging Industry Development——And the Study of the Importance of Industrial Policy

基于全要素生产率(TFP)视角,文章深入分析了中国战略性新兴产业发展绩效。结果表明,201 1—201 5年间中国战略性新兴产业TFP指数年均值达到1. 069,与2006—201 0年相比,年均增长0. 03。此外,技术效率指数、纯技术效率变化指数和规模效率指数也实现不同程度增长,但技术进步指数却呈现下降趋势,其中纯技术效率和规模效率增加对TFP增长的贡献最为显著。进一步分析发现,中部和西部战略性新兴产业的TFP指数增长幅度较大,而东部和东北则有小幅度下滑。因此,必须从完善产业政策体系、促进产业有效集聚和加强基础性、关键性技术研发等方面入手,促进我国战略性新兴产业高质量发展。

Based on the perspective of total factor productivity(TFP),the article provides an in-depth analysis of the development performance of China’s strategic emerging industries.The results show that the annual average value of China’s strategic emerging industry TFP index reached 1.069 between 2011 and 2015,compared with 2006-2010,the average annual growth rate was 0.03.In addition,the technical efficiency index,the pure technical efficiency change index and the scale efficiency index also achieved different degrees of growth,but the technological progress index showed a downward trend,and the increase of pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency contributed the most to the growth of TFP.Further analysis found that the TFP index of strategic emerging industries in the central and western regions increased significantly,while the eastern and northeast regions experienced a small decline.Therefore,we must start from improving the industrial policy system,promoting effective industrial agglomeration and strengthening basic and key technology research and development,to promote the high-quality development of China’s strategic emerging industries.