基于灰色分析法对我国水资源现状的发展预测

Development Forecast of Water Resources Status in China Based on Grey Analysis

针对我国水资源现状的发展预测,运用了灰色预测理论、灰色关联理论及k均值聚类分析等理论,构建了水资源开发利用灰色预测模型及K-means聚类分析模型等模型,综合运用了Matlab、SPSS等软件编程求解,得出了农村居民人均用水量对万元国内生产总值用水量影响最小,应推进城镇化建设等一系列结论.

In view of the development forecast of China’s water resources status,using grey prediction theory,grey relational theory and K-means clustering analysis,the models of water resources development and utilization gray prediction model and K-means cluster analysis model are constructed. Using software programming such as Matlab and SPSS,it is concluded that the per capita water consumption of rural residents has the least impact on the water consumption per 10,000 yuan of GDP,and a series of conclusions should be promoted.