“一带一路”建设的战略制约因素及其规避策略

Causes for the Limitations of the “Belt and Road” Initiative and Possible Solutions

"一带一路"建设在取得成就的同时也暴露出一些问题。中国在沿线国家的一些基础设施项目受到干扰,或是取消或是变动;沿线地区中国与主要大国的利益发生矛盾;西方主导的国际经济体系不断强化对沿线国家的监管。这些现象表明,"一带一路"主要面临三大战略制约:第一是国家主权原则的制约;第二是大国势力范围的制约;第三是国际经济体系的制约。认真研判"一带一路"建设客观存在的战略制约,及时提出应对策略及相应手段,规避这些战略风险,避免国家战略利益的重大损失,才能推进"一带一路"建设的顺利进行和目标的全面达成。

Although the 'Belt and Road' policy has many achievements, it also contains some inherent issues. Some of China’s basic infrastructure in its bordering nations may be disrupted, changed or canceled;conflicts of interest between China and the major powers around it;the growing influence of the international economic system led by Western powers which develops spheres of influence in China’s neighbouring countries. These characteristics demonstrate that the 'Belt and Road' Initiative faces three major strategic limitations: the first limitation is due to the sovereignty of nations, the second limitation is due to spheres of influence from major powers, the third limitation is due to the international economic system. Only objectively evaluating the limitations of the 'Belt and Road' Initiative, finding solutions to these issues in a timely manner, systemically avoiding these strategic risks, preventing major losses to China’s national interests, can the successful execution of the 'Belt and Road' Initiative be achieved and all goals fulfilled.