演化经济地理学视角下的产业空间演化及其影响因素分析——以中国汽车工业为例

Analysis of the Industry Spatial Evolution Mechanism and its Determinants from the Perspective of Evolutionary Economic Geography—— A Case Study of China's Automobile Industry

本文以演化经济地理学理论作为分析框架,从演化视角探讨产业空间的演化机制及其影响因素,并以中国汽车工业为例进行实证分析。研究结果发现,改革开放前,政府的汽车产业政策对中国汽车工业空间布局具有决定性的影响;改革开放后,虽然中国汽车工业空间布局在不同阶段的影响因素有所差别,但总体上讲,制度因素、外商投资对中国汽车工业空间布局和演化产生显著性影响。未来,随着市场经济完善和汽车工业技术创新能力提升,市场需求和技术创新影响因素将进一步凸显。

Based on the theoretical framework of evolutionary economic geography, this paper investigates the evolving patterns of China’s manufacturing sectors and their underlying mechanism and determinants from an evolutionary perspective, while taking automobile industry as an empirical case. The results show that government policies had determining effects on the spatial distribution of China's automobile industry before the reforms and opening up. However, the determinants such as institutional factors and foreign investment have significant impacts on the evolution of the spatial configuration of China's automobile industry although the determinants vary from time to time. In the future, with the improvement of market economy and innovation capability of automotive industry, market demand and technological innovation will play an increasingly significant role in reshaping the geography of auto industry in China.