中非农产品贸易强度及其国际地位演变分析

Analysis on the strength of Sino-Africa agricultural trade and its international status

近年来中国和非洲农业合作日渐频繁,中非农产品贸易也逐渐受到学术界的广泛关注,中非农产品贸易在全球中的横向对比、中国与非洲各国之间的横向对比研究也显得尤为重要。为掌握在全球背景下中非农产品贸易关系及强度的历史状况,利用FAOSTAT中的农产品贸易数据,对中非农产品贸易与其他国家或地区农产品贸易展开横向对比,并对中国与非洲各国之间贸易强度的历史变化进行系统分析。研究结果显示:1)尽管非洲农产品进出口贸易额不断上升,但在世界贸易中的份额持续徘徊在低位,并无显著变化;2)中非之间的贸易关系在1986-2013年间的变化并不突出,欧美仍是其主要的贸易伙伴;3)大多数非洲国家对华年次贸易频率低且贸易量小;4)南非、坦桑尼亚、埃塞俄比亚、马里、尼日利亚、阿尔及利亚、马达加斯加、毛里塔尼亚和尼日尔等国不仅拥有较多农用地资源,且具有较好的对华农业贸易的历史基础。

In recent years,the agricultural cooperation between China's Mainland and Africa becomes more frequent.Trade of Sino-Africa agricultural products has attracted more attention.However,there are still lacking horizontal and horizontal comparison between Sino-Africa agricultural trade and African agricultural trade with others.We use FAOSTAT Trade Matrix data to systematically analyze the historical change of the strength of Sino-Africa agricultural trade and its international status.The results show that:1)despite the rising import and export values of African agricultural products,their shares of world trade value have been hovering low and have no significant change;2)The insignificant international status of Sino-Africa agricultural trade has not been changed;Europe and America are still Africa’s main trading partners;3)Most African countries’trades with China's Mainland are being small values and low frequency;4)Countries such as South Africa,Tanzania,Ethiopia,Mali,Nigeria,Algeria,Madagascar,Mauritania and Niger not only have large agricultural land resources,but also have historical bases of agricultural trade with China's Mainland comparatively.