新疆克孜尔水库风险分析初探

Study on Risk Analysis of Kizil Reservoir

根据新疆克孜尔水库安全鉴定存在问题初步分析水库主要溃坝模式,并根据已确定的溃坝模式,分别计算水库除险加固前和除险加固后的溃坝概率,绘制加固前后的社会风险图和加固前后的经济风险图,并对其进行初步分析。

This paper according to the safety appraisal of Xinjiang Kizil reservoir,preliminary analysis of the main dam break model,and according to the dam break model,calculation the dam break probability,and draw the social risk and economic risk,and carries on the preliminary analysis.