区域经济增长与环境质量演进阶段及互动效应研究——以山东省为例

Rules and Evolution Stage Measurement of Regional Economic Growth and Environmental Pollution: Taking Shandong Province as an Example

经济增长与环境质量的关系日益受到广泛关注。对经济增长与环境污染演进阶段的准确识别,是有效实施生态文明和经济发展战略的重要前提。理论上构建了表现区域经济增长与环境污染规律的经济-环境指数、存量指数、流量指数和环境污染综合指数,并以山东省为例进行了实证研究,发现山东省经济-环境系统正处于环境库兹涅兹曲线第二阶段向第三阶段的过渡点,进而探讨了当前阶段经济-环境系统的特征,并演生出升级产业结构、优化能源结构,全面推进节能降耗减排、实现绿色循环低碳发展,聚焦科技创新、强化减排能力建设,建立健全环保标准、完善体制机制法制保障等适应举措。

Relations between economic growth and environmental quality have attracted increasingly extensive attention. Accurate identification of evolution stages of economic growth and environmental pollution is an important premise for effectively implementing strategies related to ecological civilization and economic development. Theoretically, the paper establishes an economy-environment index, a stock index, a flow index and an environmental-pollution comprehensive index which can present rules of regional economic growth and environmental pollution. The paper also carries out an empirical research with taking Shandong Province as the example. It is found in the research results that the economyenvironment system of Shandong Province now stays at a transition point from the second stage to the third stage in the Environmental Kuznets Curve. Based on this, the paper discusses key fields and route selection of ecological civilization construction in Shandong Province at the current stage.