需求类政策对中药产业集群形成的影响研究

Effect of Demand Policies on the Formation of Traditional Chinese Medicine Industry Clusters

应用多Agent方法,构建需求类政策实施背景下中药企业是否进入中药产业集群的仿真模型,通过模型仿真,揭示了需求类政策对中药产业集群形成的作用机理。研究发现,在需求类政策强度分别提升20%、50%、100%的情况下,有85%的中药企业依次在第8年、第7年、第6年进入了中药产业集群;三种情况分别比初始情况快了1年、2年、3年;当需求类政策强度提升100%时,与强度提升50%相比,产业集群形成速度并未明显加快;随着需求类政策强度提升,中药产品批发销售企业进入产业集群速度逐渐快于其他两类企业。因此政府实施需求类政策的强度不是越高越好,应根据中药企业的不同类型和中药产业集群形成的不同阶段,实施不同强度的需求类政策。

This paper applies the multi-agent method to construct a simulation model of whether Chinese medicine enterprises entering the Chinese medicine industry cluster under the background of demand policy implementation.Through model simulation,it reveals the mechanism of demand policy on the formation of Chinese medicine industry clusters.The study found that 85%of Chinese medicine companies entered the Chinese medicine industry cluster in the 8 th,7 th and 6 th years respectively when the demand policy intensity increased by 20%,50%,and 100%respectively;Compared with the initial situation,they are 1 year,2 years,and 3 years faster than it respectively.When the demand policy intensity is increased by 100%,the rate of industrial cluster formation is not significantly accelerated compared with the 50%increase in intensity;The wholesale and sales of Chinese medicine products gradually faster than the other two types of enterprises when entered the industrial cluster.Therefore,the intensity of the government’s implementation of demand-based policies is not as high as possible.Different types of demand-based policies should be implemented according to the different types of Chinese medicine enterprises and the different stages of the formation of Chinese medicine industry clusters.